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Showing posts from January, 2023

Road for reviving Capex investment in Pvt sector

 Indian think-tank at the top in GOI has brought out the PLI Production Linked Incentive Schemes to attract investments into India which can push up our Exports and also provide jobs to the locals.This twin objectives of Value add and Job add have remained Work-in-Progress and the full benefits would start flowing into the economy in about 3-5 years time. Nevertheless the Capex appetitie beyond this ambitious scheme has remained largely muted mainly because of reasons like lack of demand momentum going forward.higher interest rates and large Govt borrowings programme as this is penultimate year before General elections. In this scenario, one of the important avenues open to the Govt is looking at Investment allowance and Depreciation rates.Earlier it has been demonstrated that whenever the IA and Depreciation rates are increased for a limited period, there has been a pickup in Capex investments inorder to save on Corporate Taxes. But now the Tax rates have already been lowered and ...

India's GDP growth rate for Fiscal 2024 may dip.

 India's nominal GDP growth for Q2 FY 22-23 is estimated by National Statistical Office (NSO) of MOSPI  at16.2% and the real GDP Growth rate at 6.3%. From the Govt side we notice that Fiscal deficits are still lose compared to what it was before the pandemic hit us. The combined fiscal deficits of Centre and States is more than 10% in FY 21-22 (RBI report Appendix-Table 1) link  ; PIB release on Fiscal Deficit(  link ) For the current FY 22-23 it will be slightly less than 10% as per BE. The RBI repo rate has gone up so far by 2.25%p.a so far since May 22 in five tranches ,pushing up all the lending rates of the Banks. Combined with the rate hikes RBI has also sucked up excess liquidity in the system through CRR and other monetary policy instruments like VRRR, and other Open Market Operations like Operation Twist etc. With a slightly higher than FRBM mandated Fiscal Deficit at the Centre and a high FD combined with States crowd out private investments due to excessiv...

Potholes on the Roads and their costs to our Economy.

  All State govt should have Pot and Man holes maintenance minister. Economic costs and loss of human lives due to road accidents especially that of Breadwinners of the family are humongous. Govts should take-up modern tech of repairing potholes in a jiffy as National Priority. Maintenance &repair of our roads, often ignored ,lead to huge loss of priceless lives ,&deprive the nation of productivity of youth who fall victim to potholes and otherwise bad roads. "Road accident victims largely constitute young people in the productive age underscoring major implication on economic cost of road accidents, apart from their emotional and psychological impact.(Page 62 of Report on Road Accidents in India-2021 by Ministry of Road Transport and Highways Table 4.2: Age profile of Fatal Road Accident victims during 2019 to 2021     Age- group Number of Persons killed %-age change in 2020 over 2019 %-age change in ...