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Showing posts with the label Growth

Elephant in the Room-General Elections, reduce GDP(Gas,Diesel,Petrol)prices to boost GDP!!!

  Elections, particularly in India, can indeed have an impact on its economy, including liquidity and inflation. During election periods, State governments of India often increase spending to buttress their election campaign and implement populist measures to attract voters. However this GOI has eschewed its temptation to loosen its purse strings. However it has increased its Capex infra projects which can generate assets and have a trickle down effect in the income of the people. But this increased government spending at State levels can potentially lead to higher liquidity in the financial system. If the increased liquidity is not matched by an increase in productivity or economic growth, it can potentially lead to inflationary pressures. In such situations, central banks like the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) might need to adopt tight liquidity management policies to rein in inflation. Tight liquidity management involves reducing the money supply in the economy by selling governme...

India's PMI and growth prospects

  The July PMI was slightly lower than the June PMI, but both readings were above the 50-mark, indicating expansion in the manufacturing sector. The decline in the July PMI was likely due to a number of factors, including rising input costs, supply chain disruptions, and a slowdown in demand. However, the overall picture for the Indian manufacturing sector remains positive, with the PMI remaining above the 50-mark for the 25th consecutive month. Here is a table comparing the July and June PMIs: Indicator July June Manufacturing PMI 57.7 57.8 Output 57.5 57.8 New orders 58.3 58.7 Input prices 62.7 62.5 Employment 51.0 50.7 Business confidence 63.3 63.4 As you can see, July PMI w as lower than the June PMI in all but one indicator. However, the overall picture for the Indian manufacturing sector remains positive, with the PMI remaining above the 50-mark for the 25th consecutive month. The July 2023 PMI report for India did not include any specific figures on corporate profits. Howeve...