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Cyber threats and data privacy

 "Data Piracy is threatening Data Privacy".Information security starts with the CIA Triad-sounds more like mafia and counter-espionage jargon- is the bedrock of the cybersecurity edifice.CIA stands for Confidentiality, Integrity and Availability encompassing the entire gamut of Information security. Consider the following examples and contemplate on these real-life threats faced by all of us: 1)TWITTER SAYS 130 ACCOUNTS WERE TARGETED IN A MAJOR CYBER ATTACK OF CELEBRITY ACCOUNTS TWO DAYS AGO SOURCE: BBC 17 JULY 20 2)MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL NOTIFIES GUESTS OF PROPERTY SYSTEM INCIDENT SOURCE: HTTPS://NEWS.MARRIOTT.COM/NEWS/2020/03/31/MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL NOTIFIES GUESTS OF PROPERTY SYSTEM INCIDENT 3)Computers containing data relating to national security and VVIPs like Prime Minister Narendra Modi were compromised in early September after a security breach at the NIC (National Informatics Centre), Delhi Police sources have said.The computers affected also stored data relating ...

Atmanirbhar India, the PLI schemes and import bans

  Central Govt has brought three PLI (Production Linked Incentives)schemes so far- for Electronics Manufacturing, Pharma APIs and Medical devices- in order to give a big push for Make in India as part of PM Modi's aspirational theme "Atmanirbhar India". Under PLI scheme for Electronics mfg. 4% to 6% is the incentive on incremental sales over the base year and the scheme has three sub-categories-Mobile phone (International Cos), Mobile Phones(Domestic cos) and Specified Electronic Components Mfg. The govt recently announced 16 companies under these categories which included the likes of Samsung, Apple's Contract manufacturers Foxconn Hon Hai, Wistron, Pegatron and also Rising Star. Under the Domestic companies, Lava, Micromax etc. and under Specified Electronics components, 6 companies have been approved.Over the next 5 years, this policy initiative is expected to lead to the production of over Rs.10.5 lac cr with a likely export of over Rs.6.5 lac cr out of this, as p...

Agri bills and Rajya sabha commotion

 Indian Central Govt. successfully pushed  3 Farm bills through both the Houses of Parliament last week. Since the ruling NDA led by BJP has a majority in the lower house i.e Lok Sabha the passage of these bills happened without any hiccup there. But when the same bills had to be passed by the higher house i.e Rajya Sabha, where NDA has a thin majority, pandemonium reigned and all hell broke loose. But the Chairman of the house went by voice vote amidst allegations that he chose to ignore the call for division of the house. Now the opposition is upset not by the farm bills per see but the way it was carried by the Chairman by the Upper house by not allowing them to stall this reform in the garb of discussions et al. Several Agricultural Commissions and Committees incl the Sen Committee and Dr.Swaminathan Comittee over the last 30 years, have strongly suggested on this unshackling of Agri markets across the country. This reform is long overdue. Even Congress Govt. wanted to imp...

Indian politicians -their precept and practice

 It is said "there is a world of difference between precept and practice"- more so with our politicians and the gap widens when they speak about it more.!! It is generally thought that Political lies are always for exploiting the ignorance of the public. Mostly they are manipulative for winning the elections. But there are times like Obama lies about Health care inorder to push through some legislation to benefit the larger society( link ). However coming to India, Politicians throw promises at the people mainly to win elections and then they renege on the promises made. In the recent few weeks there are lot of accusations by the Opposition parties against the Central Govt that Question Hour in the ensuing Parliament has been abolished muzzling the freedom of MPs to ask Govt questions about peoples' problems to elicit answers from the Govt. But there are two stark statistics contradicting the so-called champions of freedom of expression in the Opposition. In the last few ...

Compensation to States and Borrower of the Last resort!

 India's FM is an unenviable position. Given the penchant for two steps forward and one step backward in all economic decisions, FM is in the eye of the storm unendingly ever since the pandemic struck India. In fact, even before that, India's GDP was sliding YOY from 2016-17 onwards. It hit a high of 8.26% in 16-17 and hit the lowest so far in Fiscal 19-20 at 4.2%. GST collections have also ebbed along with the GDP since even Nominal GDP has grown only by 7.2% in Fy 19-20.It was growing at 11.76% in Fiscal 16-17. So, this skidding of the nominal growth rate coupled with a reduction in GST rates in 2018 led to a shortfall in GST collections even though the tax base widened. The good thing about the One Nation, One tax has been the acceptance of this Taxation in lieu of VAT at the individual state level and Excise duty at the Central level. The consensus behind GST has been bought by Arun Jaitley with the commitment for providing Central funds at the growth rate of 14% YOY to the...

Lockdowns ,Unlocks and White elephants!

  We have had four lockdowns and unlocks across the country.To start with it was Complete lockdown, which struck like a bolt from the blue starting from March 24th till May 31st 2020. Many prominent opposition leaders severely criticized the Govt for this lockdown accusing Modi of dictatorship tendency throwing the hungry, poverty-stricken, migrants on the streets and pavements uncared for. The second lockdown little relaxed was in June as experimentation and once the pandemic started spreading wildly, Govt. was again back to stricter lockdowns. But by the end of june, Central Govt realized that the question of livelihood was becoming important and advised staggered unlocks. But many states ruled by opposition leaders taking a holier than Centre attitude continued with strict lockdowns introducing epasses even for intrastate movements, imposing restrictions like total lockdowns during weekends making life difficult for the common man. There was a tough competition between states as...

Tax, STT and Windfall tax.

The only thing certain about Tax is, it is always taxing.  India abolished LTCG(Long Term Capital Gains) tax some years back while STT(Securities Transaction Tax) was introduced. After few years Arun Jaitley,the then FM at the Central Govt, thought it fit to reintroduce LTCG Tax from Fy 18-19, with an exemption if STT had been paid on the transaction. Now many Economists have recommended for abolition of LTCG tax showing the distortion it brings in transactions involving Digital Gold, unlisted shares and the black money generation it encourages in all and sundry especially in Real estate transactions. The arguments against LTCG Tax are strong and valid. The vagueness it brings in matters of valuation brings lot of confusion and uncertainty giving the incentive to hide part of the consideration received. What demo wanted to flush out, LTCG Tax has encouraged inadvertently. It has sent wrong signals across the economy. What is the remedy then. One simple alternative is to bring Trans...

Inflation, Monetary policy and India

 The minutes of the recent meeting of Monetary Policy Committee  of RBi which were released this week, contain some interesting mentions. One of the news columns said that RBI minutes mention 'uncertainty' 12 times, 'growth' 43 times and 'inflation' 147 times It has expressed concern over inflation and it seems to be valid as CPI has remained above 6% which is more than the tolerance limit of RBI. Alongside, India is experiencing severe GDP growth pangs as its IIP has remained in the negative territory in the first quarter and in July also. Services sector is in a deeper mess except of course ITES, SAAS etc. which have been affected to a lesser extent. It looks like only Agri sector has not been impacted adversely so far ,as the progress of monsoon has been satisfactory and the spatial dispersion also fairly good. The RBI Deputy Governor Mr.Michael Patra had said : "If inflation persists above the upper tolerance band for one more quarter, monetary policy w...

TReDS AND GST PORTAL

GST portal has come a long way from a fledgling,fumbling and faltering days to its better days.However it has go a long way to evolve into a mature and more user-friendly phase. Now Central Govt is introducing e Invoicing with unique Invoice Reference Number (IRN) for traceability and matching concept introduction. This IRN will be given by Govt and this is to identify whether it is a valid e Invoice . This numbering system will be similar to cheque MICR no. for the purpose of verifying the genuineness and also for the use in matching it for clearing mechanism. This IRN will also serve similar purposes.More than bigger companies this system will help MSMEs in the longer run. F or MSME bill discounting some of the banks like Axis Bank have introduced a digital platform called TREds so that MSMEs can access cheaper bank finance against their supply invoices. Ministry of Corporate Affairs have also made it mandatory for all Corporates with a turnover of Rs.500 cr and above to register und...

Import Trade restrictions and Make in India-Atmanirbhar!

 Import Trade wall or barriers are not new to India. The country had very steep walls in terms of Tariffs, licensing ,quotas etc. all in the name of safeguarding the domestic industry. When the country gained independence, many of the industries were either nascent or anemic and in order to restore their health, Central Govt had no option but to erect some import restrictions so that local industries in the economy are nurtured. This grooming of domestic industry with level playing field took a new turn in the late 1960s and 1970s with widespread nationalisation of private enterprises, ushering in an era of erratic socialism all in the name of protecting the citizens from private profiteering. This concept led to erecting walls within the country between the commanding heights of Govt. undertakings and the Private enterprises. The private sector was neglected and was left to fend for itself and scaling up an enterprise became a uphill challenge for private sector. Inorder to protec...

Indian Acts, amendments and russian roulette!

  Whenever any change in the IT Act is contemplated it should be put through only one filter which is "simplification" of the tax. Revenue considerations, whether an increase or decrease, not to enter as a filter for any piecemeal or Adhoc changes during the course of the year.  Simplification, reduction of tax, widening of tax base may be used as multiple filters for once a year changes in the Budget. Many times an amendment is done in the name of maximizing tax revenues and plugging loopholes. This is a pure travesty of truth. Instead, Govt should move towards simplification and ease of compliance. This obsession with revenue maximization is a colonial hangover. Very often IRS officers and CBDT also complain about CAG Damocles sword over their heads if they don't plug loopholes. Indirectly such a plethora of amendments and tinkering goads loophole industry to become more innovative.CAs, lawyers enjoy and thrive on this.More the loopholes and more the plugging.More they ...

EIA 2020 draft is good and what should we be careful about?

What do we know about EIA draft 2020? But even before we read it, we want to register our opposition to the draft. Does this attitude not reek of cynicism. Former UPA minister Mr.jairam Ramesh shot out a letter to Minister for Environment in Central govt,Mr.Prakash Javadekar saying that draft EIA allows post facto approvals going against the principle of assessment before projects are put up. There are some fundamental flaws in the assumptions behind the accusations against the draft. 1)Under the current EIA everything is hunky dory and the revised draft now is going to spell doom to the environment. For that, they are side by side quoting that LG Polymers gas leak disaster saying that this project has not obtained EIA clearances for the project still. These people, conveniently forgetting that this project has been put up as per current guidelines and not under the draft now presented, quote LG Polymer as an example of a violation of Environment Act. If the project had come up ...

Government's asset monetisation

Policy prescriptions are flying thick and fast and on my part, I am adding one more . All Economists including me are prescribing deficit monetisation, pump priming etc. taking a leaf out of Modern Monetary Theory. As against this,Central Govt. has an alternative which is called Asset monetisation, according to me.Govt calls it Disinvestment/Divestment of PSUs. When the whole world is reeling under Covid pandemic , will there be a suitor for Air India? Even if there is a good buyer will he be willing to pay the right price for Air India.What will be the benchmark for its valuation when the whole industry is bogged down by this pandemic and its repercussions on the travel industry. In such unprecedented situations , it is best advised not to go in for outright sale transactions of Government stake in PSUs including Air India, BPCL,etc. Similarly, other intangible but real assets are Spectrum waves ( link ), Mining/Abiotic  ,Biotic Resources which are hidden inside the Ear...

Immediate prescription for demand stimulus!

Sri. Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Chief Economic Advisor to Central Govt,yesterday, has gone on record saying that further demand stimulus measures will be announced after vaccine becomes available. Why should we link stimulus to vaccine availability is not clear. What kind of vaccine he is expecting and if the vaccine falls short of his expectations whether he would not allow roll out of stimulus? I t may become too late to wait till then.Why because, the common man has started saving his meagre earnings due to his fear about his future earnings and not due to Covid pandemic per se.In order to allay his fear about his employment and future earnings, Govt must sacrifice some near term revenue and announce some economic incentives  for kick starting the economy.What better place to start than with Indirect Tax cuts. Auto sector is the biggest in manufacturing in terms of GDP and reducing GST on it from 28% and converge it with Revenue Neutral Rate(RNR) of 18% will give a huge ...

Reforms in Power sector.

Central Govt announced Rs.90K cr rescue package for power gencos through PFC and REC.But PRAAPTI ( Payment Ratification And Analysis in Power procurement for bringing Transparency in Invoicing of generators) website shows that the total overdue amount to be paid to Gencos stood at Rs.113.8K cr at the end of May 2020 continuously going up for the last 18 to 24 months. The total outstandings were Rs.125.6K cr. link . Apart from this, there is renewable energy generation pending to be adjusted against captive consumption of factories which is not yet visible.This may be another iceberg submerged. After clearing Rs.90K cr.as per GOI plan  stated above, how the state discoms are going to manage their future liabilities. With a negative gap between Average Cost of Supply(ACS) and Average Revenue Realised at Re.0.41 per unit on an All India basis, it is a losing game. AT & C loss is also still very high at 18.72% link .UDAY (Ujwal Discom Assurance Yojana) commitments lie in tatt...

" IT Harassments"- no euphemism pl!!

Pl. see the below page from the Central Govt published data. link Regular IT assessments done by Dept is yielding only 7 to 8% of total Gross Direct tax collected where as Adv. Tax, TDS and SA Tax is 92% i.e the voluntary compliance . Is there not a strong case for abolishing Assts for atleast individuals who have good track record of say 10 continuous years and have limited scrutiny assessments only for Corporates/Companies with incentives for exemption from assessments if they remit Tax at least 15% more year on year.This will take care of tax buoyancy ratio and reduce assessment costs drastically. Mr.Sunil Jain of FE recently sent a tweet to FM saying that IT dept is following up with him on some assessment notice despite complying with it and paying tax. Everyone of us have similar experiences on IT assessments despite computerisation. Straightaway all these scrutiny assessments can be called " IT Harassments "-no euphemism. But it sho...