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Showing posts from September, 2023

Lower PFCE and Lower Household Financial Savings indicate any longer term problem for India's GDP growth?

 T he combination of lower PFCE(Private Final Consumption Expenditure) growth and lower household financial savings as per RBI Monthly Bulletin(Aug 23) are problems for future GDP growth of India. PFCE, or Private Final Consumption Expenditure, is the spending of households on goods and services. It is one of the most important components of GDP, and it accounts for a large share of economic activity. Household financial savings are the savings of households in financial assets such as bank deposits, stocks, and bonds. These savings are used by businesses to invest in new projects and create jobs, which ultimately determine GDP growth. Lower PFCE growth and lower household financial savings can lead to lower GDP growth in a number of ways. Lower PFCE growth means that households are spending less money on goods and services. This can lead to a decrease in demand for products and services, which can hurt businesses and lead to job losses. Lower household financial savings means that...

India's House hold savings is still robust if you consider Physical/Housing assets savings also

  India's household financial and physical assets savings as per RBI have declined in recent years. Household financial savings:  Household financial savings in India declined to 5.1% of GDP in 2022-23, the lowest since 1976-77. This was down from 7.2% in 2021-22. Household physical assets savings:  Household physical assets savings, on the other hand, have increased in recent years. They rose to 11.8% of GDP in 2021-22, up from 10.7% in 2020-21. The decline in household financial savings is attributed to a number of factors, including: Rising inflation:  Inflation has been rising in India in recent months after Covid, which has eroded the purchasing power of households. This has led to households spending more on essential items, leaving them with less money to save. This should have pushed up PFCE as a percentage of GDP but only a tad more than the long term trend Increase in debt:  Household debt has also been increasing in recent years. This has put a strain...